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Probability

  • Lest men suspect your tale untrue,
    Keep probability in view.

    John Gay (1685 - 1732)

  • I am not surely always in the wrong;
    Tis hard if all is false that I advance,
    A fool must now and then be right by chance.

    William Cowper (1731 - 1800)

  • Hot streaks are a statistical illusion!

    Lisa Simpson (1987 - )

  • There is no such thing as luck; there is only adequate or inadequate preparation to cope with a statistical universe.

    Robert Anson Heinlein (1907-1988)

  • The conception of chance enters in the very first steps of scientific activity in virtue of the fact that no observation is absolutely correct. I think chance is a more fundamental conception that causality; for whether in a concrete case, a cause-effect relation holds or not can only be judged by applying the laws of chance to the observation.Max Born (1882 - 1970)

  • The theory of probability is the only mathematical tool available to help map the unknown and the uncontrollable. It is fortunate that this tool, while tricky, is extraordinarily powerful and convenient.

    Benoit B. Mandelbroit (1924 - 2010)

  • Inside every nonBayesian there is a Bayesian struggling to get out.

    Dennis V. Lindley (1923 - )

  • Oh, well, this would be one of those circumstances that people unfamiliar with the law of large numbers would call a coincidence.

    Sheldon Cooper (2007 - )

  • Amidst the strange vicissitudes of life, 'tis likely, most unlikely things should happen.

    Agathon (448 BCE - 400 BCE)

  • Uncertainty is the only certainty there is, and knowing how to live with insecurity is the only security.

    John Allen Paulos (1945 - )

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