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Elementary Probability

  • This site provides the description and instructions for as well as the link to The Self-Avoiding Random Walk applet. In the SAW applet, random walks start on a square lattice and then are discarded as soon as they self-intersect. If a random walk survives after N steps, we compute the square of the distance from the origin, sum it up, and divide by the number of survivals. This variable is plotted on the vertical axis of the graph, which is plotted to the right of the field where random walks travel.
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  • This is the description and instructions as well as a link for the Forest Fires and Percolation applet. It builds a background with a "hands-on" activity for the students which then leads to the applet itself. The applet is a game where the object is to save as many trees from the forest fire as possible. It shows the spread of a fire with the variable of density and the probabilty of the number of surviving trees.
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  • This site offers a collection of applets in which standard topics of statistics and probability are presented in a novel and visual way using computer animated images. Topics include dependence, independence, conditional probabilities, expectation and variance, normal, exponential, Poisson distributions, law of large numbers and the central limit theorem, hypothesis testing maximum likelihood estimation, sampling, chi-square tests, and the construction of confidence intervals.
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  • This applet is a probabilistic study of picking fortunes from a limited supply of fortune cookies. The student will try to answer how many cookies he/she has to eat to have a 50/50 chance of reading all the fortunes.
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  • This applet is a probabilistic study of picking prizes from an unlimited supply of cereal boxes. The applet helps to answer how many boxes of cereal need to be purchased to have a 50/50 chance of getting all the prizes.
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  • Here one finds a collection of applets and famous problems in probability (as well as other areas of mathematics such as calculus and geometry). Some of the topics/problems include: Bertrand's Paradox, Birthday Coincidence, Buffon's Needle (Noodle), Lewis Carroll's Problem, Monty Hall Dilemma, Parrondo Paradox, and Three pancakes problem.

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  • Generate a graphic and numerical display of the properties of the t-distribution for values of df between 4 and 200, inclusive.

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  • This page generates a Poisson distribution, as approximated by the Binomial. After clicking continue, users must enter the sample size (n>39) and probability of success (between 0.0 and 0.2, inclusive). A graph of the Poisson distribution with mean=np is shown as well as a table of the Poisson probabilities. Key Word: Poisson Calculator.

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  • The fifth chapter of an online Introduction to Biostatistics course. Three sets of lecture notes are provided. Additionally, links for additional reading and exercises with solutions are provided. A link is also given for a related statistical applet on the normal distribution.

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  • This applet simulates a probability tree diagram. Step 1: Click inside the appropriate box on the desired level to build the tree. Step 2: Click on "Set Probabilities" at the top. Step 3. When you enter the respective probabilities, you must hit the ENTER key after each one. Step 4: Once all of the probabilities have been set (they should be blue), click "Final Tree" Step 5: Click "Simulation".
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