by J.V. Cunningham (1911 - 1985)
Plato, despair!
We prove by norms
How numbers bear
Empiric forms,
How random wrong
Will average right
If time be long
And errors slight;
But in our hearts
Hyperbole
Curves and departs
To infinity.
Error is boundless.
Nor hope nor doubt,
Though both be groundless,
Will average out.
Students use the capture-recapture method to estimate the size of a population of GoldfishTM crackers. The bias in the MLE versus a bias-corrected estimate is evaluated with computer simulations.
Students estimate the probability that a Hershey's KissTM will land on its flat base when spilled from a cup. Almond and plain Kisses are compared.
Students use the capture-recapture method to estimate the size of a large population of split peas. Student worksheets and expository materials are included.
Students use the capture-recapture method to estimate the size of a population of SmartiesTM candies. The variability in their estimates is also examined.
Students use the capture-recapture method to estimate the size of a population of M&M'sTM.