Simulation

  • This online, interactive lesson on probability spaces provides examples, exercises, and applets that cover conditional probability, independence, and several modes of convergence that are appropriate for random variables. This section also covers probability space, the paradigm of a random experiment and its mathematical model as well as sample spaces, events, random variables, and probability measures.

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  • This online, interactive lesson on Markov chains provides examples, exercises, and applets that cover recurrence, transience, periodicity, time reversal, as well as invariant and limiting distributions.
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  • This set of pages describes software the author wrote to implement bootstrap and resampling procedures. It also contains an introduction to resampling and the bootstrap; and examples applying these procedures to the mean, the median, correlation between two groups, and analysis of variance.
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  • This journal article is a summary of resampling methods such as the jackknife, bootstrap, and permutation tests. It summarizes the tests, describes various software to perform the tests, and has a list of references.
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  • This set of pages is an introduction to Maximum Likelihood Estimation. It discusses the likelihood and log-likelihood functions and the process of optimizing.
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  • This journal article gives examples of erroneous beliefs about probability. It specifically examines the belief that a random sample must be representative of the true population.
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  • This journal article describes a set of experiments in which different methods of teaching Bayes' Theorem were compared to each other. The frequency representation of the rule was found to be easier to learn than the probability representation.
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  • This applet plots the survival function (1-F(t)) of the exponential distribution against the empirical survival function. The empirical survival function is one minus the empirical distribution function.

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  • This applet allows the user to enter data, then returns the values of empirical cumulative distribution function by sorting the data and reporting the height of the curve at each point. It does not show the graph.

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  • This applet allows you to experience the fate of a gambler by simulating the whole gambling session in a matter of seconds. The applet plots the successive rises and falls of the capital during the whole duration of the game. It also displays the maximum and minimum values attained by the capital during the session and allows you to get precise information (by clicking at a point of the histogram) of the amount of capital after that particular bet.
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