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Analysis Tool: Backward Probability Template

Given the population incidence of a certain disease, and the conditional probabilities of positive and negative test results, what are the probabilities for a particular test result of a true positive, true negative, false positive, and false negative? Adaptable to other kinds of conditional situations. Although this page is adaptable to a variety of backward probability situations, its exemplary case is the one in which one is seeking to make sense of the result of a medical test.

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Richard Lowry
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