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  • Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) is a comprehensive, structured, and logical analysis method aimed at identifying and assessing risks in complex technological systems for the purpose of cost-effectively improving their safety and performance. NASA’s objective is to better understand and effectively manage risk, and thus more effectively ensure mission and programmatic success, and to achieve and maintain high safety standards at NASA. This PRA Procedures Guide, in the present second edition, is neither a textbook nor an exhaustive sourcebook of PRA methods and techniques. It provides a set of recommended procedures, based on the experience of the authors, that are applicable to different levels and types of PRA that are performed for aerospace applications. 

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  • This NASA-HANDBOOK is published by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) to provide a Bayesian foundation for framing probabilistic problems and performing inference on these problems. It is aimed at scientists and engineers and provides an analytical structure for combining data and information from various sources to generate estimates of the parameters of uncertainty distributions used in risk and reliability models. The overall approach taken in this document is to give both a broad perspective on data analysis issues and a narrow focus on the methods required to implement a comprehensive database repository.

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  • Free statistical calculators online.  Our basic statistical calculators will help you in common tasks you might encounter and deal mostly with simple distributions. 

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  • The following pages calculate r, r-squared, regression constants, Y residuals, and standard error of estimate for a set of N bivariate values of X and Y, and perform a t-test for the significance of the obtained value of r. Allows for import of raw data from a spreadsheet; for samples of any size, large or small.

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  • A song to teach various concepts in probability. Written by Mary Pat Campbell for Mathcamp 2002 at Colorado College. May be sung to the tune of "Take a Chance on Me" by ABBA. Musical accompaniment realization by Joshua Lintz and vocals by Mariana Sandoval from University of Texas at El Paso.

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  • How can we accurately model the unpredictable world around us? How can we reason precisely about randomness? This course will guide you through the most important and enjoyable ideas in probability to help you cultivate a more quantitative worldview.

    By the end of this course, you’ll master the fundamentals of probability and random variables, and you’ll apply them to a wide array of problems, from games and sports to economics and science.  This course includes 62 interactive quizzes and more than 400 probabilty-based problems with solutions.  Access to this course requires users to sign up for a free account.

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  • This presentation is a part of a series of lessons on the Analysis of Categorical Data.  This lecture overs the following:  odds ratio, dependent proportion, marginal homogeneity, McNemar's Test, marginal homogeneity for greater than 2 levels, measures of agreement, and the kappa coefficient (weighted vs. unweighted).

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  • This presentation is a part of a series of lessons on the Analysis of Categorical Data. This lecture covers the following: ordinal regression models, cumulative probabilities, non-proportional odds, score stat for proportionl odds, MLEs, the adjacent categories logit, and proportional odds model.

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  • This presentation is a part of a series of lessons on the Analysis of Categorical Data.  This lecture provides a review of probability and statistical concepts such as conditional probabilities, Bayes Theorem, sensitivity and specificity, and binomial and poisson distributions.

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  • Random is a website devoted to probability, mathematical statistics, and stochastic processes, and is intended for teachers and students of these subjects. The site consists of an integrated set of components that includes expository text, interactive web apps, data sets, biographical sketches, and an object library. 

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