Stochastic problems - analyses from the didactical and psychological perspective: Stochastische Problemaufgaben - Analysen aus didaktischer und psychologischer Perspektive


Book: 
Materialien und Studien
Authors: 
Scholz, R. W.
Type: 
Category: 
Volume: 
23
Year: 
1981
Abstract: 

A selection of 19 problems analyzed from various points of view is presented. The problems are selected in a way that central issues in treating the problems are related with the concept of probability or the stochastic nature of information. The reader can observe many fallacies or false conclusions. Some of the problems introduced were used in experimental investigations in order to prove the limitedness of human power of judgment when processing stochastic information and estimating probabilities. On one hand, the results of the empirical findings are reported briefly in the discussion of the problems, on the other, the theoretical approaches which were developed in order to explain these findings are explained in detail.

The CAUSE Research Group is supported in part by a member initiative grant from the American Statistical Association’s Section on Statistics and Data Science Education