Revising probabilities according to new information: A fundamental stochastic intuition


Book: 
The Second International Conference on Teaching Statistics, 1986
Authors: 
Borovcnik, M. G.
Editors: 
Davidson, R., & Swift, J.
Category: 
Pages: 
298-302
Year: 
1986
Publisher: 
The Second International Committee on Teaching Statistics
Place: 
Victoria, B.C.
Abstract: 

In what follows I will try to sketch some phenomena of misunderstanding ideas of probability, and give some comments on the interplay between mathematics and intuitions which I think represents the origin of lack of comprehension. A brief overview of the favor concept should enable the impression that by way of teaching this concept probabilistic reasoning could be improved.