On the psychology of prediction

Book: 
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Authors: 
Kahneman, D., & Tversky, A.
Editors: 
Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., & Tversky, A.
Type: 
Chapter
Category: 
Research
Pages: 
48-68
Year: 
1982
Publisher: 
Cambridge University Press
Place: 
New York
Abstract: 

In this paper, we explore the rules that determine intuitive predictions and judgments of confidence and contrast these rules to the normative principles of statistical prediction.

The CAUSE Research Group is supported in part by a member initiative grant from the American Statistical Association’s Section on Statistics and Data Science Education

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