Evidential impact of base rates


Book: 
Judgment under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases
Authors: 
Tversky, A., & Kahneman, D.
Editors: 
Kahneman, D., Slovic, P., & Tversky, A.
Type: 
Category: 
Pages: 
153-160
Year: 
1982
Publisher: 
Cambridge University Press
Place: 
New York
Abstract: 

Although procedural variables have a considerable effect, the present chapter is confined to the discussion of evidential variables that control the interpretation and the impact of the base-rate data. Specifically, we focus on the distinction between two types of base rates, which we label causal and incidental.