Children's construction of fair chances: Adjusting probabilities


Book: 
Developmental Psychology
Authors: 
Falk, R., & Wilkening, F.
Category: 
Volume: 
34(6)
Pages: 
1340-1357
Year: 
1998
Abstract: 

A probability-adjustment task was presented to 6-14-year-old children. In 2 experiments, children had to generate equal probabilities by completing the missing beads in a target urn with 1 type of beads presented beside a full urn with both winning and losing beads. The results indicate that only at around the age of 13 did most students proportionally integrate the 2 dimensions (i.e., the numbers of winning and losing beads).

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