The base-rate fallacy in probability judgments


Authors: 
Bar-Hillel, M
Category: 
Volume: 
44
Pages: 
211-233
Year: 
1980
Publisher: 
Acta Psychologica
Abstract: 

A series of probabilistic inference problems is presented and base rates will be combined with other information when the two kinds of information are perceived as being equally relevant to the judged case. The base-rate fallacy is then discussed in its relation to the above.

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