Understanding uncertainty: Football crazy
David Spiegelhalter and Yin-Lam Ng
Plus Magazine, Issue 52
On May 22nd 2009 the English Premier league had one more match day ahead, with West Bromwich Albion at the bottom of the league and Manchester United at the top, sure to remain there. Taking up a challenge from a BBC radio programme, David Spiegelhalter and Yin-Lam Ng used their statistical finesse to predict the outcome of the last matches — and they were 90% correct. Find out how they did it http://plus.maths.org/issue52/risk/index.html here.
Plus Magazine is published at Cambridge University. On their website describe their Magazine as follows:
Plus Magazine opens a door to the world of maths, with all its beauty and applications, by providing articles from the top mathematicians and science writers on topics as diverse as art, medicine, cosmology and sport. You can read the latest mathematical news on the site every week,
Readers of Chance news will be particularly interested in contributions from David Spiegelhalter. who is a member of the Cambridge University Statistics Labority and is a Wontpn Professor of the Public understanding of Risk. David writes articles with his colleagues regularly for Plus Magazine. You can find previous articles written for Plus Magazine on his Understanding Uncertainty Blog.