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Understanding uncertainty: Football crazy
David Spiegelhalter and Yin-Lam Ng
Plus Magazine, Issue 52

Plus Magazine is published at Cambridge University. On their website they describe their Magazine:

Plus magazine opens a door to the world of maths, with all its beauty and applications, by providing articles from the top mathematicians and science writers on topics as diverse as art, medicine, cosmology and sport. You can read the latest mathematical news on the site every week,

Readers of Chance news will be particularly interested in contributions from David Spiegelhalter. who is a member of the Cambridge University Statistics Labority and is a Wontpn Professor of the Public understanding of Risk. David writes articles with his colleagues regularly for Plus Magazine. You can find previous articles written for Plus Magazine on his Understanding Uncertainty Blog