Difference between revisions of "Sandbox"

From ChanceWiki
Jump to navigation Jump to search
Line 1: Line 1:
==Friendship==
+
Today is President Barack Obama's 100th day in office.  How would you grade his performance thus far?
  
Except for Voltaire who famously (albeit, possibly apocryphally) said, “Lord, protect me from my friends; I can take care of my enemies,” few doubt the benefits of having friends. 
 
  
[http://www.nytimes.com/2009/04/21/health/21well.html?_r=1&8dpc From Tara Parker-Pope] we find some surprising side effects of friendship.  She suggests looking at an Australian study which “found that older people with a large circle of friends were 22 percent less likely to die during the study period than those with fewer friends.”  Further, “last year, [http://www.ajph.org/cgi/content/abstract/AJPH.2007.113654v1 Harvard researchers] reported that strong social ties could promote brain health as we age.” 
 
  
She also refers to a 2006 study [http://jco.ascopubs.org/cgi/content/full/24/7/1105 of nearly 3000 nurses] with breast cancer which “found that women without close friends were four times as likely to die from the disease as women with 10 or more friends. And notably, proximity and the amount of contact with a friend wasn’t associated with survival. Just having friends was protective.”  She closes her article with a quote from the director of the center for gerontology at Virginia Tech: “People with stronger friendship networks feel like there is someone they can turn to.  Friendship is an undervalued resource. The consistent message of these studies is that friends make your life better.”
+
[http://twtpoll.com/x7fjol Of 33223 voters], President Obama received a grade of "F" from 79% of the voters 26317 voters. The colors in the pie chart represents a grade of "A+", "A", "A-" etc., until the color grey, which refers to a grade of "F".
 
 
Discussion
 
 
 
1.  Parker-Pope also mentioned researchers [http://www.psy.plymouth.ac.uk/research/ece/publications/pdf/Social-Support-and-Slant.pdf here] who “studied 34 students at the University of Virginia, taking them to the base of a steep hill and fitting them with a weighted backpack. They were then asked to estimate the steepness of the hill. Some participants stood next to friends during the exercise, while others were alone. The students who stood with friends gave lower estimates of the steepness of the hill. And the longer the friends had known each other, the less steep the hill appeared.”  In fact, three of the 34 were excluded because they were deemed outliers.  The participants estimated the slant via three different methods as can be seen in the figure below:
 
 
 
<center> http://www.dartmouth.edu/~chance/forwiki/Fig.3.jpg</center>
 
 
 
The “haptic” measurement “"required adjusting a tilt board with a palm rest to be parallel to the hill, importantly, without looking at one’s hand."”  As can seen from the above figure, it appears to more accurate than either the “verbal,” merely a guess, or the “visual” which a (presumably crude) disk-like device acted as an aide.
 
 
The researchers performed a two-way ANOVA (sex and social support) separately for each of the three measuring methods. They reported the value of each F(1,27) to determine a p-value for each method to see if Friend compared to Alone is statistically significant.  So, why the number “27”?  From merely looking at the figure, which of the three methods for determining slant would appear to be unrelated to friendship?
 
 
2.  The above study took place in Virginia.  In Plymouth, England the researchers did a similar slant study but this time instead of friendship directly, imagining of support, was tested as can be seen from the following figure:
 
 
<center> http://www.dartmouth.edu/~chance/forwiki/Fig.4.jpg </center>
 
 
 
This study had 36 participants and similarly to the first study, they did a two-way ANOVA (sex and imagery of support) leading to F(2,30) for each slant measuring technique. So, why the “2” and the “30”?  From merely looking at the figure, which of the three methods for determining slant would appear to be unrelated to imagery of support?
 
 
3. In either study, “visual” or “verbal” on average markedly overstate the slant of the hill.  What does that suggest about people’s ability to judge a task?
 
 
4.  The researchers admit that for either study, “"Participants in this study were not randomly assigned."”  Why would this pose a problem?
 
 
5. To give Voltaire his due, Parker-Pope points out that  [http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/357/4/370 “A large 2007 study] showed an increase of nearly 60 percent in the risk for obesity among people whose friends gained weight.”
 
 
 
Submitted by Paul Alper
 

Revision as of 14:01, 7 May 2009

Today is President Barack Obama's 100th day in office. How would you grade his performance thus far?


Of 33223 voters, President Obama received a grade of "F" from 79% of the voters 26317 voters. The colors in the pie chart represents a grade of "A+", "A", "A-" etc., until the color grey, which refers to a grade of "F".