Difference between revisions of "Chance News 7"

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<blockquote>Texas beats Ohio State in their opening game  
 
<blockquote>Texas beats Ohio State in their opening game  
of the season (Saturday Sept 10 2002).  One of the sportscasters (Brent Musburger on play by play and Gary Danielson on analysis) observed that of the 14 teams who have  
+
of the season (Saturday Sept 10 2002).  One of the sportscasters (Brent Musburger on play-by-play and Gary Danielson on analysis) observed that of the 14 teams who have  
 
previously played in the championship game (at the end of each season) 5  
 
previously played in the championship game (at the end of each season) 5  
 
have suffered an earlier defeat.  "Thus," they conclude, "Ohio State can  
 
have suffered an earlier defeat.  "Thus," they conclude, "Ohio State can  

Revision as of 13:03, 26 September 2005

Sept 26 2005 to Oct 15 2005

quotation

While writing my book [Stochastic Processes] I had an argument with Feller [Introuction to Probability Theory and its Applications]. He asserted that everyone said "random variable" and I asserted that everyone said "chance variable." We obviously had to use the same name in our books, so we decided the issue by a stochastic procedure. That is, we tossed for it and he won.

Joe Doob
Statistical Science

Forsooth

Peter Winkler suggested our first forsooth.

Texas beats Ohio State in their opening game

of the season (Saturday Sept 10 2002). One of the sportscasters (Brent Musburger on play-by-play and Gary Danielson on analysis) observed that of the 14 teams who have previously played in the championship game (at the end of each season) 5 have suffered an earlier defeat. "Thus," they conclude, "Ohio State can still make it to the championship game, but their chances are now less

than 59%."

Discussion

What is wrong with this?