Chance News 100: Difference between revisions

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"[T]he National Center for Complementary and Alternative Medicine is the brainchild of Iowa senator Tom Harkin, who was inspired by his conviction that taking bee pollen cured his allergies ….  There is no evidence that bee pollen cures allergies or lessens their symptoms.  ….
"[T]he National Center for Complementary and Alternative Medicine is the brainchild of Iowa senator Tom Harkin, who was inspired by his conviction that taking bee pollen cured his allergies ….  There is no evidence that bee pollen cures allergies or lessens their symptoms.  ….
In Senate testimony in March 2009, Harkin said he was disappointed in the work of the center because it had disproved too many alternative therapies.  ‘One of the purposes of this center was to investigate and validate alternative approaches.  Quite frankly, I must say publicly that it has fallen short,’ Harken said.”  [p. 174-180]<br>
In Senate testimony in March 2009, Harkin said he was disappointed in the work of the center because it had disproved too many alternative therapies.  ‘One of the purposes of this center was to investigate and validate alternative approaches.  Quite frankly, I must say publicly that it has fallen short,’ Harken said.”  [pp. 174, 180]<br>


“I don’t have either APOE4 allele, which is a great relief.  ‘You dodged a bullet,’ my extremely wise physician said when I told him the news.  ‘But don’t forget they might be coming out of a machine gun.”  [p. 220]<br>
“I don’t have either APOE4 allele, which is a great relief.  ‘You dodged a bullet,’ my extremely wise physician said when I told him the news.  ‘But don’t forget they might be coming out of a machine gun.”  [p. 220]<br>

Revision as of 17:14, 14 July 2014

Quotations

"Steve Ziliak, a critic of RCTs [randomised controlled trials], complains about one conducted in China in which some visually-impaired children were given glasses while others received nothing. The case against the trial is that we no more need a randomised trial of spectacles than we need a randomised trial of the parachute."

--Tim Harford, in: The random risks of randomized trials, Financial Times, 25 April 2014

Submitted by Paul Alper

Forsooth

One sentence too many?

“At issue was how highly correlated the prices of various subprime mortgage bonds inside a CDO might be. Possible answers ranged from 0 percent (their prices had nothing to do with each other) to 100 percent (their prices moved in lockstep with each other). Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s judged the pools of triple-B-rated bonds to have a correlation of around 30 percent, which did not mean anything like what it sounds. It does not mean, for example, that if one goes bad, there is a 30 percent chance that the others will go bad too. It means that if one bond goes bad, the others experience very little decline at all.”

Michael Lewis, Boomerang, 2011, pp. 207-208

Submitted by Margaret Cibes


“When confronted with data from the Centers for Disease Control that seemed to provide scientific refutation of her claims [that vaccines caused autism, Jenny] McCarthy responded, ‘My science is named Evan [her son] and he’s at home. That’s my science.’ …. She is fond of saying that she acquired her knowledge of vaccinations and their risks at ‘the University of Google.’” [p. 79]

“[Dr. Andrew] Weil doesn’t buy into the idea that clinical evidence is more valuable than intuition. Like most practitioners of alternative medicine, he regards the scientific preoccupation with controlled studies, verifiable proof, and comparative analysis as petty and one dimensional.” [p. 257]

"[T]he National Center for Complementary and Alternative Medicine is the brainchild of Iowa senator Tom Harkin, who was inspired by his conviction that taking bee pollen cured his allergies …. There is no evidence that bee pollen cures allergies or lessens their symptoms. …. In Senate testimony in March 2009, Harkin said he was disappointed in the work of the center because it had disproved too many alternative therapies. ‘One of the purposes of this center was to investigate and validate alternative approaches. Quite frankly, I must say publicly that it has fallen short,’ Harken said.” [pp. 174, 180]

“I don’t have either APOE4 allele, which is a great relief. ‘You dodged a bullet,’ my extremely wise physician said when I told him the news. ‘But don’t forget they might be coming out of a machine gun.” [p. 220]

Michael Spector in Denialism, 2010

Submitted by Margaret Cibes

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