"Avoid Linear extrapolation ... The turkey's first 1000 days are a seemingly unending succession of gradually improving circumstances confirmed by daily experience. What happens on Day 1001? Thanksgiving." The quote is by John E. Sener (1954 - ) of Sener Learning services found in the on-line article Strategies for Effective “2020 Vision” -- #1: Avoid Linear Extrapolation at www.senerlearning.net/?q=node/176. The quote is paraphrasing the turkey metaphor made famous by Bertrand Russell and Nassim Nicholas Taleb.